Many Ships = Few Wars: The Case For A Big Fleet

Many Ships = Few Wars: The Case For A Big Fleet
Many Ships = Few Wars: The Case For A Big Fleet

WASHINGTON: Think of international conflicts as earthquakes. Many little ones are better than one “Big One” — a global war. Social science suggests that the more often two rival powers interact, the more likely they are to resolve their differences through many small, manageable conflicts rather than one violent conflagration. That makes naval presence worldwide a very…

Two Scenarios Tested: STRATCOM’s Haney On JICSPOC Lessons

Two Scenarios Tested: STRATCOM’s Haney On JICSPOC Lessons
Two Scenarios Tested: STRATCOM’s Haney On JICSPOC Lessons

WASHINGTON: The new Joint Interagency Combined Space Operations Center (JICSPOC) has completed two of its nine scenarios and is helping the US military and its Intelligence Community learn how to monitor and fight using space, the head of Strategic Command, Adm Cecil Haney, said today. “While we still have a ways to go — I repeat, a…

Robot Wars: Centaurs, Skynet, & Swarms

WASHINGTON: I haven’t seen the new Star Wars movie yet — no spoilers in the comments section, please — but its vision of high-tech warfare is already looking quaint. Always at heart a fairy tale in space, the series puts humans in the cockpit and on the front lines, with droids as adorable sidekicks. Meanwhile,…

Will US Pursue  ‘Enhanced Human Ops?’ DepSecDef Wonders

Will US Pursue  ‘Enhanced Human Ops?’ DepSecDef Wonders
Will US Pursue ‘Enhanced Human Ops?’ DepSecDef Wonders

WASHINGTON: The Defense Department’s Third Offset Strategy is designed to create new advantages over adversaries now that Russia and China are developing stealth fighters, cyber weapons, and precision missile arsenals of their own. With studies well underway and up to $15 billion budgeted for experimentation in 2017, the emerging answer is a cluster of technologies related to…

Army Mulls Train & Advise Brigades: Gen. Milley

Army Mulls Train & Advise Brigades: Gen. Milley
Army Mulls Train & Advise Brigades: Gen. Milley

WASHINGTON: After 15 years of ad hoc solutions, the Army may build specialized battalions and brigades to train and advise foreign forces, the service’s chief of staff says. Gen. Mark Milley made clear that advisor units are just a proposal under study, a study that only started “a couple of months ago.” But even studying the…

Don’t Forget COIN, Because COIN Threat’s Getting Worse: CNAS

Don’t Forget COIN, Because COIN Threat’s Getting Worse: CNAS
Don’t Forget COIN, Because COIN Threat’s Getting Worse: CNAS

WASHINGTON: As the US military refocuses on Russia and China, it mustn’t forget the hard-won lessons of Afghanistan and Iraq, because they’ll only become more relevant in future conflicts. With technology spreading, populations rising, and megacities sprawling, “war among the people” — whether it’s counterinsurgency, counterterrorism, or just conventional warfare in an urban setting —…

Bridging The ‘Valley Of Death’ For Navy Drones

Bridging The ‘Valley Of Death’ For Navy Drones
Bridging The ‘Valley Of Death’ For Navy Drones

PENTAGON: The Navy’s new offices for unmanned systems — that’s drones or robots to you and me — are a long-overdue reform, two top experts tell us. But, as emphasized by both our outside sources and the new Navy officials themselves, it’s equally important to understand the initiative’s limits. This is not an overhaul of the…

Centaur Army: Bob Work, Robotics, & The Third Offset Strategy

Centaur Army: Bob Work, Robotics, & The Third Offset Strategy
Centaur Army: Bob Work, Robotics, & The Third Offset Strategy

[UPDATED with TRADOC & additional Work comment] We’ve talked a lot in these pages about drones and robots, networks and swarms. But there’s new way of looking at these weapons that Bob Work made clear is at the heart of the Defense Department’s high-tech “Third Offset Strategy.” It’s an approach that relies not just on technology…

F-35C & Ford Carriers – A Wrong Turn For Navy: CNAS

F-35C & Ford Carriers – A Wrong Turn For Navy: CNAS
F-35C & Ford Carriers – A Wrong Turn For Navy: CNAS

WASHINGTON: The high-cost, high-controversy centerpieces for the future Navy fleet — the Ford-class aircraft carrier and the F-35C fighter — not only take it in the wrong direction, says a report out today. They double down on a strategic mistake made 20 years ago, when the Navy shortchanged range, argues Jerry Hendrix, a retired Navy captain now…

YouTube Goes To War: The Dangers Of ‘Radical Transparency’

YouTube Goes To War: The Dangers Of ‘Radical Transparency’
YouTube Goes To War: The Dangers Of ‘Radical Transparency’

WASHINGTON: The American military isn’t ready “at all” for an “era of radical transparency…. where every single thing a US soldier or Marine does on the ground is recorded and tweeted,” Paul Scharre says. In the past, I’ve mostly talked to Scharre about drones. He’s a technophile who thinks mini-robots, exoskeletons, and precision-guided rifles could revolutionize…

CEOs Question DoD’s New IRAD Rule

CEOs Question DoD’s New IRAD Rule
CEOs Question DoD’s New IRAD Rule

WASHINGTON: Two major defense industry players have a suggestion for Frank Kendall, undersecretary of defense for acquisition, whose Better Buying Power 3.0 plan includes a new requirement that companies get the Pentagon’s blessing for internal research and development (IRAD) spending. Back off. “I’m not sure there’s a lot of upside to a lot of DoD oversight of where…

From Skywarrior To UCLASS: Back To The Future Of Carrier-Based Strike?

From Skywarrior To UCLASS: Back To The Future Of Carrier-Based Strike?
From Skywarrior To UCLASS: Back To The Future Of Carrier-Based Strike?

WASHINGTON: Overstretched as they are, the Navy’s 10 aircraft carriers remain unequalled icons of American might. But the ugly truth is they’re not as mighty as they might be. The maximum range of carrier-borne strike aircraft has eroded over the last quarter century. Even the Navy’s future fighter, the F-35C, will have an unrefueled range of about 600…

Small Drones Are A Big Danger; Think Flying IEDs: CNAS

Small Drones Are A Big Danger; Think Flying IEDs: CNAS
Small Drones Are A Big Danger; Think Flying IEDs: CNAS

WASHINGTON: Sometimes small is beautiful. Sometimes small is lethal. While China and Russia are researching stealthy and armed drones, the drunk intelligence analyst who landed a Chinese-made mini-drone on the White House lawn in last month may be the more worrying sign of things to come. Afghan and Iraqi guerrillas kludged together murderous roadside bombs…

‘Carrier Gap’ In Gulf Is A Symptom, Not A Crisis

‘Carrier Gap’ In Gulf Is A Symptom, Not A Crisis
‘Carrier Gap’ In Gulf Is A Symptom, Not A Crisis

The geostrategic sky isn’t falling because the US won’t have an aircraft carrier in the Persian Gulf region for a period this fall. Land-based aircraft will do an excellent job of striking ISIL, analysts say, while smaller ships are better suited to combat Iran in the tight confines of the Gulf. “This is not an example of American…