Mark Cancian

Stories by Mark Cancian

Defense Spending Will Bust BCA Caps: Mark Cancian

Defense Spending Will Bust BCA Caps: Mark Cancian
Defense Spending Will Bust BCA Caps: Mark Cancian

One of Washington’s leading budget experts explains how bipartisan supporters of Pentagon funding will steamroll the Budget Control Act.

2020 Budget: One Half Step Towards A Great Power Strategy

2020 Budget: One Half Step Towards A Great Power Strategy
2020 Budget: One Half Step Towards A Great Power Strategy

The Trump defense budget takes significant steps to move from a focus on regional conflicts and counter-insurgency to a focus on great power conflicts. But the Army, Navy Air Force and Marines clearly are struggling with this balance.

2019 Forecast: Budget Battles & Confirmation Wars

2019 Forecast: Budget Battles & Confirmation Wars
2019 Forecast: Budget Battles & Confirmation Wars

Trump’s pick to replace Sec. Jim Mattis will be a key indicator about where the president wants to drive the department — and the confirmation process will show what the Senate will accept — while the defense budget may be collateral damage from a bitterly divided Congress.

Mattis Vs. Mulvaney: The Coming Budget Clash & The Reagan Legacy

Mattis Vs. Mulvaney: The Coming Budget Clash & The Reagan Legacy
Mattis Vs. Mulvaney: The Coming Budget Clash & The Reagan Legacy

We have been here before. In 1982 Caspar Weinberger and David Stockman had a similar showdown referred by President Reagan. DOD won that time. What does that have to tell us about the impending Mulvaney–Mattis showdown? And if OMB wins this time, would Mattis stay on?

Democratic House Hurts Space Corps, Nuke Modernization, & Pentagon Topline

Democratic House Hurts Space Corps, Nuke Modernization, & Pentagon Topline
Democratic House Hurts Space Corps, Nuke Modernization, & Pentagon Topline

WASHINGTON: The Democrats’ recapturing the House means three major impacts on the Defense Department: The odds are that controversial Trump priorities like new nuclear weapons and a Space Force will go nowhere, defense budgets will go down, and oversight will go up, up, up. Program winners and losers The most likely losers are nuclear modernization…

Trump Reverses The Defense Buildup: 2020 Cuts Analysis

Trump Reverses The Defense Buildup: 2020 Cuts Analysis
Trump Reverses The Defense Buildup: 2020 Cuts Analysis

Trump’s plan would undercut the more expansive National Defense Strategy for “great power competition” that embattled Defense Secretary Jim Mattis rolled out just nine months ago.

Congress Traded Operations & Maintenance For Modernization In 19 Appropriations

Congress Traded Operations & Maintenance For Modernization In 19 Appropriations
Congress Traded Operations & Maintenance For Modernization In 19 Appropriations

Now that President Trump has signed the fiscal 2019 defense appropriations bill — marking the first time in nine years that defense is not bound by a Continuing Resolution — the broad trend was cuts to Operational and Maintenance (O&M) to fund Research, Development, Testing, & Engineering (RDT&E). The top line was consistent with the…

Air Force 386 Squadron Plan: Hallucination Or Negotiating Tactic

Air Force 386 Squadron Plan: Hallucination Or Negotiating Tactic
Air Force 386 Squadron Plan: Hallucination Or Negotiating Tactic

Air Force Secretary Heather Wilson announced “the Air Force we need”, a significant expansion of the Air Force from 312 operational squadrons to 386. One thing is clear. It will be really expensive. The annual additional cost would be about $37 billion at a time when budget projections show no increase, and up to 94,000 additional personnel, active and reserve.

What Really Matters In The Defense Authorization Act & What Didn’t Get Done

What Really Matters In The Defense Authorization Act & What Didn’t Get Done
What Really Matters In The Defense Authorization Act & What Didn’t Get Done

Most coverage of the annual defense policy bill has focused on program changes: more ships (including six icebreakers!), no change to F-35’s, more RDT&E, no JSTARS recap, a growl (but no more) on ZTE, and many more (the bill and report run 2,500 pages). Less discussed, but of more import in the long run, are the…

Why Chairman Thornberry Failed To Tame DoD’s Fourth Estate

Why Chairman Thornberry Failed To Tame DoD’s Fourth Estate
Why Chairman Thornberry Failed To Tame DoD’s Fourth Estate

When House Armed Services Chairman Thornberry proposed eliminating seven agencies and reducing personnel by 25 percent, he faced strong opposition. In the HASC’s draft bill, he scaled the proposal back to eliminating just three agencies. But that didn’t work either. During the committee’s markup of the House defense policy bill, members still pushed back.

How Big Should The Defense Budget Be? Experts vs The Public

How Big Should The Defense Budget Be? Experts vs The Public
How Big Should The Defense Budget Be? Experts vs The Public

It’s not often the public gets to — or chooses to — weigh in directly about what the defense budget should be. The folks at the Center for Strategic and International Studies gave anyone interested enough a chance to do just that. Read on to see what Mark Cancian, a member of our Board of Contributors, says about the results! The Editor.

A Tough National Defense Strategy

A Tough National Defense Strategy
A Tough National Defense Strategy

The National Defense Strategy, released this morning, may be the single most important document penned by Defense Secretary Jim Mattis. It encapsulates the Trump Administration’s defense policies in one place for the first time and provides guidance for the 2019 defense budget, to be released in a few weeks. That budget will mark the administration’s…

Bad Idea: Easy Savings from DoD Management Reform

Bad Idea: Easy Savings from DoD Management Reform
Bad Idea: Easy Savings from DoD Management Reform

                We’re partnering with the Center for Strategic and International Studies to bring you their fab Bad Ideas series through the Christmas holiday season. They produced three today. This is the second. Mark Cancian, also a member of the Breaking Defense Board of Contributors, pens a fine piece…

US Forces Won’t Grow Much Despite Hill & Trump Rhetoric

US Forces Won’t Grow Much Despite Hill & Trump Rhetoric
US Forces Won’t Grow Much Despite Hill & Trump Rhetoric

The defense community is abuzz with talk of strategy and force expansion as the Pentagon develops the Trump Administration’s National Security Strategy. Talk is nice but, as budgeteers like to say, “If it ain’t funded, it ain’t”. Building the forces the services say they need—with the readiness and modernization to support them— requires large budgets,…

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