Best Of 2016: China Rising

Best Of 2016: China Rising
Best Of 2016: China Rising

That China is a growing threat — even an “enemy” — is one thing incoming president Donald Trump and the Washington national security establishment agree on. But just how dangerous is China’s increasing military strength and international assertiveness? What painful historical experiences drive Chinese thinking in ways a Westerner might not understand? And what’s the…

China Revels In Philippines’ About-Face, But Will It Last?

China Revels In Philippines’ About-Face, But Will It Last?
China Revels In Philippines’ About-Face, But Will It Last?

An international tribunal ruled emphatically in July against Chinese claims to large portions of the South China Sea, acting on a case brought to it by the Philippines. China was furious and threatened many of its neighbors, while also trying to convince them to work with the PRC to resolve the conflicting claims. Then came the new President of…

‘We’ve Got To Continue To Engage’ China: CNO Richardson

‘We’ve Got To Continue To Engage’ China: CNO Richardson
‘We’ve Got To Continue To Engage’ China: CNO Richardson

WASHINGTON: Despite rising tensions in the South China Sea, the US Navy’s top admiral says his Chinese counterparts “by and large” behave professionally, not provocatively, when the two nations meet at sea. And precisely because of those tensions, Adm. John Richardson said, it’s all the more important to emphasize cooperating with China, not confronting it.…

Chinese Threaten Japan, Australia Over South China Sea; Time For US FON Ops?

Chinese Threaten Japan, Australia Over South China Sea; Time For US FON Ops?
Chinese Threaten Japan, Australia Over South China Sea; Time For US FON Ops?

UPDATED: Adds Excellent CSIS Study On International Support For Chinese Claims WASHINGTON: What are China’s intentions in the South China Sea? It’s a question intelligence analysts, diplomats and the senior leadership of the United States and its Pacific allies are all asking in the wake of a range of increasingly belligerent and threatening comments and…

Chinese Ambassador Blasts South China Sea Tribunal

Chinese Ambassador Blasts South China Sea Tribunal
Chinese Ambassador Blasts South China Sea Tribunal

WASHINGTON: After a UN tribunal ruled stingingly against Chinese territorial claims in the South China Sea, Beijing reacted with its characteristically prickly mix of grandiosity and insecurity. The official Chinese perspective inverts Washington’s worldview so thoroughly it can be hard for Americans to understand: International rules are rigged, US military presence is destabilizing, China rightfully…

Don’t Push China Too Hard After SCS Ruling

Don’t Push China Too Hard After SCS Ruling
Don’t Push China Too Hard After SCS Ruling

UPDATED with Chinese Ambassador, Sen. Sullivan, & CSIS conference WASHINGTON: “To a surrounded enemy, you must leave a way of escape,” Sun Tzu wrote 2,500 years ago. It’s a stratagem – often called the “golden bridge” – that the US and its allies would do well to remember tomorrow morning, when a UN tribunal will almost…

Confronting Conflict In The ‘Gray Zone’

Confronting Conflict In The ‘Gray Zone’
Confronting Conflict In The ‘Gray Zone’

A new Army War College report, Outplayed: Regaining Strategic Initiative in the Gray Zone, argues that the United States should adopt innovative approaches against a new and more complex set of international security challenges. “Outplayed” is the culmination of a nine-month study effort that was sanctioned by the Army Chief of Staff and sponsored by…

UN Ruling Won’t End South China Sea Dispute: Navy Studies Next Clash

UN Ruling Won’t End South China Sea Dispute: Navy Studies Next Clash
UN Ruling Won’t End South China Sea Dispute: Navy Studies Next Clash

A UN tribunal ruling could trigger the next round of brinksmanship in the South China Sea as early as next week. But don’t expect the ruling to end the dispute, especially since the Chinese have already vowed to ignore an adverse ruling. “It’s…not likely to be resolved this year or by one international ruling, no matter how brilliant…

The P-8, Singapore & South China Sea Strategy

The P-8, Singapore & South China Sea Strategy
The P-8, Singapore & South China Sea Strategy

OVER THE MALACCA STRAIT: Defense Secretary Ashton Carter and his host, Singaporean Defense Minister Ng Eng Hen, made a stark and clear statement to China before the Shangri-La summit began, boarding America’s preeminent sub-hunting and surveillance plane, the P-8 Poseidon. “How do you like this aircraft?” asked Carter as they boarded the P-8. “I love this…

US Must Do More In South China Sea, Urges Sen. McCain

US Must Do More In South China Sea, Urges Sen. McCain
US Must Do More In South China Sea, Urges Sen. McCain

SINGAPORE: In a clear message to the Obama Administration, our Pacific partners and to China, Sen. John McCain says the US military is not doing enough to challenge Chinese claims in the strategic South China Sea. Nor is the US doing enough to ratify the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) trade pact, a vital economic objective in the…

US Won’t Back Off On Korean Missile Defense, South China Sea: SecDef

US Won’t Back Off On Korean Missile Defense, South China Sea: SecDef
US Won’t Back Off On Korean Missile Defense, South China Sea: SecDef

ABOARD SECDEF1: The US will remain steadfast in the face of Chinese complaints as it builds its Pacific coalition, Defense Secretary Ash Carter made clear to reporters en route to the Shangri-la summit in Singapore. Carter and his staff already are looking past the secretary’s speech here on Saturday to two potential flashpoints this summer: First,…

Vietnam Pivots To US With Wary Eye On China: Arms Ban Ends

Vietnam Pivots To US With Wary Eye On China: Arms Ban Ends
Vietnam Pivots To US With Wary Eye On China: Arms Ban Ends

ABOARD SECDEF CARTER’S PLANE: In many ways, today marks the final exorcism of the Vietnam War as America turns to the much greater challenge of a rising, militarizing China — and as Hanoi seeks just enough US help to balance Beijing without provoking it. President Obama is in Hanoi and Defense Secretary Ash Carter in New Haven. Yesterday,…

PACOM Presses To Film China’s Reckless Pilots From P-3s, P-8s

PACOM Presses To Film China’s Reckless Pilots From P-3s, P-8s
PACOM Presses To Film China’s Reckless Pilots From P-3s, P-8s

Concerned over increasingly reckless Chinese and Russian intercepts of US aircraft, Pacific Command says it urgently needs cameras on its planes to provide irrefutable proof of their misbehavior. The problem: reconnaissance planes like the propeller-driven P-3 Orion and the new jet-powered P-8 Poseidon are designed to take photos of the land and sea far below, not of…

Chinese Scarborough Shoal Base Would Threaten Manila

Chinese Scarborough Shoal Base Would Threaten Manila
Chinese Scarborough Shoal Base Would Threaten Manila

UPDATED with Sen. McCain & Dean Cheng comments WASHINGTON: If China builds an artificial island on the disputed Scarborough Shoal, Sen. Dan Sullivan warned today, it will complete a “strategic triangle” of bases that can dominate the South China Sea. At this morning’s Senate Armed Services Committee hearing, Sullivan displayed a map (above) of the region…