Mark Cancian

Stories by Mark Cancian

What’s In A Name? Billions In Cuts Depend On Defining ‘Legacy’

What’s In A Name? Billions In Cuts Depend On Defining ‘Legacy’
What’s In A Name? Billions In Cuts Depend On Defining ‘Legacy’

As defense budgets face post-COVID cuts, everyone wants to axe “legacy” systems. But the services define “legacy” very differently from defense reformers.

US War Surge Production Too Slow, CSIS Finds

US War Surge Production Too Slow, CSIS Finds
US War Surge Production Too Slow, CSIS Finds

The United States could not make enough military equipment fast enough to sustain its military in the event of a major war. While much thought has been given to how a great power conflict might erupt or play out, far less has been written on how the U.S. industrial base could sustain U.S. wartime equipment…

Trump’s German Withdrawal Plans ‘Extremely Expensive’

Trump’s German Withdrawal Plans ‘Extremely Expensive’
Trump’s German Withdrawal Plans ‘Extremely Expensive’

President Trump proposed re-stationing 11,900 US troops from Germany back in July. The redeployment of some to other European countries, with others coming home produced an avalanche of criticism. Although Defense Secretary Mark Esper tried to put a strategic spin on the moves, the president promptly undermined him. Then, representatives of the administration went before Congress…

The Fuzzy Outlines Of Biden’s National Security Policies

The Fuzzy Outlines Of Biden’s National Security Policies
The Fuzzy Outlines Of Biden’s National Security Policies

The first outlines of what a Biden administration’s national security policy and defense budget are coming clear. The good news is that nothing signals a major change in strategy, so deep cuts and radical restructuring are unlikely. The bad news is that the administration’s overwhelming emphasis would be on domestic affairs and there appears to…

Death To OCO: What Would Dem Sweep Mean For War Funding?

Death To OCO: What Would Dem Sweep Mean For War Funding?
Death To OCO: What Would Dem Sweep Mean For War Funding?

Deficit hawks are now nearly extinct and defense hawks are weakened. If the Democrats sweep the next election, eliminating OCO might be the mechanism for a Biden administration to cut defense.

Huge Deficit = Defense Budget Cuts? Maybe Not

Huge Deficit = Defense Budget Cuts? Maybe Not
Huge Deficit = Defense Budget Cuts? Maybe Not

The congressional calendar and strategic inertia may come together to keep the defense budget relatively high. The calendar helps because the fiscal 2021 defense budget will likely be passed while Congress is in a free-spending mood.

Mission First: US Military Must Train & Recruit During Pandemic

Mission First: US Military Must Train & Recruit During Pandemic
Mission First: US Military Must Train & Recruit During Pandemic

Without recruit training, the services will lose .5 percent of their end strength every month (unless stop loss is imposed, and that has its own costs). Because the training pipeline is several months long, units will not feel that gap for several months, but when the pipeline begins to runs dry, units will shrink.

COVID-19 Response: Pentagon Gets A Real $8.3B Slush Fund

COVID-19 Response: Pentagon Gets A Real $8.3B Slush Fund
COVID-19 Response: Pentagon Gets A Real $8.3B Slush Fund

            Mark Cancian, who used to help build and oversee execution of the defense budget at the Office of Management and Budget, peels apart the second big spending bill President Trump has proposed to help the government battle the COVD-19 virus.. From his perch at the Center for Strategic and International…

2021 Budget Spells The End of US Force Expansion

2021 Budget Spells The End of US Force Expansion
2021 Budget Spells The End of US Force Expansion

A smaller 2021 budget and greater funding demands for nuclear weapons development mean the end of plans by the four services to expand their numbers. Rising budgets have allowed the Pentagon to maintain old planes, ships, armored vehicles and other weapons, grow the force and invest in new weapons. The reduced topline in fiscal 2021…

The Spectacular & Public Collapse of Navy Force Planning

The Spectacular & Public Collapse of Navy Force Planning
The Spectacular & Public Collapse of Navy Force Planning

Planning for a 21st century Navy of unmanned vessels, distributed operations, and great power competition has collapsed. Trapped by a 355-ship force goal, a reduced budget, and a fixed counting methodology, the Navy can’t find a feasible solution to the difficult question of how its forces should be structured. As a result, the Navy postponed…

Stop The Madness of NATO Expansion

Stop The Madness of NATO Expansion
Stop The Madness of NATO Expansion

A larger NATO embroils the United States in obscure regional disputes, commits it to defend exposed countries, and unnecessarily antagonizes the Russians.

Jedi Contract Interference: Another Norm Broken? More Impeachment Bait?

Jedi Contract Interference: Another Norm Broken? More Impeachment Bait?
Jedi Contract Interference: Another Norm Broken? More Impeachment Bait?

What went wrong and what happens next? CSIS experts Mark Cancian & Andrew Hunter dive deep into JEDI.

Sen. Warren Medicare Plan = No OCO, Lower Readiness

Sen. Warren Medicare Plan = No OCO, Lower Readiness
Sen. Warren Medicare Plan = No OCO, Lower Readiness

Sen. Warren: “And as everything from more F-35s to massive bombs never used in combat have migrated into the OCO account, the Department of Defense has been spared from having to prioritize or live within its means. It’s not just bad budgetary practice – it’s wasteful spending.”

To CR Or Not To CR — How Bad Would A Full Year CR Be?

To CR Or Not To CR — How Bad Would A Full Year CR Be?
To CR Or Not To CR — How Bad Would A Full Year CR Be?

The clock is ticking, and the Senate, where floor time is always at a premium, has only 35 days in session after July 4th before fiscal 2020 begins (August is mostly recess, unless the Senate decides to enjoy the swelter of a Washington summer).

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