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The Navy, is, hands down, the service in the best shape for 2014. Every act of belligerent idiocy from Beijing – and there’ve been a lot of them lately – makes the Navy budget an easier sell. In stark contrast to the Army, the Navy has the central role in the new Pacific-focused strategy, a high-tech threat justifying high-cost programs, a highly visible role in peacetime engagement around the world, and, perhaps most crucial, a clear set of missions.

Submarines are the spearhead of the Navy’s Pacific vision, but that’s not surprising given that the Chief of Naval Operations is a submariner. What’s less expected is how intensely Adm. Jonathan Greenert has gotten religion on electronic warfare and cyber, two things submariners historically don’t have to deal with. (Of course, the Navy boasts a redoubtable history as a service on the cutting edge of intelligence, which puts them squarely in the park for cyber operations.) Greenert sees those  as two sides of the same shield, a way for aircraft and surface ships to hide using the electromagnetic spectrum just as submarines have long hidden beneath the waves and under thermoclines.

The third point of Greenert’s trident is something unexpected not just for a submariner but for the Navy, which is traditionally obsessed with big, costly and highly capable combatants – battleships before 1941, aircraft carriers thereafter – at the expense of less exciting vessels. But Greenert is pushing for larger numbers of cheaper ships, ships he admits are less battle-worthy, to handle the low-threat regions of the world and thus free up the submarines, destroyers, and other high-end combatants to concentrate on the Chinese dragon.

In some ways, it’s actually easier to see what Greenert is doing from Beijing’s perspective than from Washington’s. Imagine yourself a People’s Liberation Army strategist standing on the shore of China looking east.

The first line of US naval forces confronting you, you can’t even see, though you know they’re out there: nuclear-powered submarines, especially the newer Virginia class that both the Navy and key Congressional backers insist the government must keep buying at a rate of two a year. China’s own sub fleet outnumbers but hardly outclasses the American ones, while China’s most dangerous weapons, its land-based missiles, can’t hit submarines. US subs can attack targets both at sea and ashore with a mix of missiles and torpedoes, and just as important they can spy, unseen, on Chinese forces – including, in the near future, by launching drones – and report back to the rest of the fleet.

The second line, at least, is on the surface – though Greenert’s emphasis on electronic warfare may well hide it behind a buzzing confusion of jamming and deceptive signals: the Arleigh Burke-class Aegis missile destroyers, which will be the workhorse of the fleet well past 2050. The surface ships are easier targets than the submarines but can carry far more missiles, not just for attack, but also for defense against incoming aircraft and ballistic missiles, making them important protectors of the fleet and bases on land.

Only in the third line do you get to aircraft carriers, shielded by the Aegis ships and by distance: While carrier advocates insist they can survive a war of long-range missiles, there’s enough doubt that few commanders would push them too far forward. That fact helps explain Greenert’s emphasis on new long-range and unmanned aircraft that can outrange conventional fighters.

Beyond these three lines containing China – or any lesser power that either replicates or purchases Chinese equipment – you’ll find the rest of the Navy doing missions around the world: amphibious warfare ships deploying Marines to disputed islands or disaster zones, Littoral Combat Ships clearing the seas of mines or small armed boats, and, increasingly, ships crewed not by Navy sailors but civilians.

“We have a need for 35 amphib[ious] ships,” Adm. Greenert told reporters at a US Naval Institute conference back in October, but the Navy just cannot afford that many. So to free up battle-worthy amphibs for missions in high-threat zones – say the South China Sea or the Persian Gulf – the Navy is increasingly building non-combatant ships to handle low-threat missions: the small Joint High Speed Vessel (JHSV), derived from an Australian ferry, and the large Mobile Landing Platform (MLP), derived from a commercial oil tanker. (Some MLPs will have flight decks, upgrading them to something called an Afloat Forward Staging Base or AFSB).

Operated by Military Sealift Command and crewed by civilians, the JHSVs and MLPs are cheaper substitutes for the amphibs and can perform just as well in peacetime missions like disaster relief or even wartime missions against poorly armed opponents. Said Greenert, “they resonate better with the type of operation that we are currently using very expensive high tech big capacity ships to do, when we could use a less expensive, very functional ship.”

Greenert thinks much the same way about the Littoral Combat Ship. Originally conceived as a close quarters “street fighter” for shallow water warfare, the LCS is instead becoming a kind of Swiss Navy Knife, equipped with plug-and-play equipment modules – still in development – that let it clear mines, hunt submarines, shoot down small fast attack boats, or, if you take the modules out, just carry stuff around at the same speed as the JHSV but with better protection. The LCS is significantly more fragile than an Aegis destroyer, an amphib, or even some of the older frigates it is replacing, but Greenert sees it as sufficiently survivable – and much cheaper – for most Navy missions around the world. That, in turn, lets him focus his limited number of high-end ships against the high-end threat.

Comments

  • Araya

    Sorry but even how you trying to gloss over you cannot hide the fact what the LCS is nothing them a 700 Million target hull. A LCS cannot hunt submarines, it cannot effectively fight small surface vessels and he cannot operate effectively as a supply ship the LCS is simply crap! For less 300 Million you get the most advanced conventional Submarine the Typ-214, or you get for 400 Million a Mistral class landing ship or an Absalom Class Sea control Ship armed with ESSM, Harpoon Missiles, ASUW Helicopters and torpedo launchers.

    To call the LCS useful is simply an idiotic attempt because why this peace of shit has really nothing what can be used in his favor. Just another example how “cheap” a LCS is, so just notice what for the price of one unarmed LCS the Russian build a SSBN armed with 16 SLBMs how can hypothetically hit 96 targets with a 520kt Nuclear Warhead. So pleas spare the World with this LCS propaganda, a Chines strategist just laughing in the moment thinking about the U.S. how spend more money for an unarmed ship as Red China spends for two new Destroyer.

    • PolicyWonk

      The LCS is significantly more fragile than an Aegis destroyer, an amphib, or even some of the older frigates it is replacing, but Greenert sees it as sufficiently survivable – and much cheaper – for most Navy missions around the world.
      ======================================
      LCS is built to only slightly better than commercial standards, and for what you get it is horrifyingly expensive ($400M per sea frame, not counting any mission package). Even with the “surface warfare” mission package, the LCS is incredibly poorly armed. It is arguable, that a Cyclone-class patrol boat is better suited for fighting off swarming speedboats than LCS will ever be.

      Other western navies are able to build full military-grade hulls with stealthy designs, in the same weight/size class as LCS, with far more weapons (and protection), and mission packages, for 1/3 less.

      All other navies that were initially interested in LCS have all voted with their feet and walked away from this ill-disguised corporate welfare program. The US would be wise to do the same, and maybe consider buying one of the other nations similar sized ships, since their ability to deliver a working warship at a reasonable price is clearly superior to that of the USA.

      • Araya

        “LCS is built to only slightly better than commercial standards”

        And even this is questionable them you look one the first deployment of the Freedom to Singapore so what happened during the deployment. First energy lose, engine defect, water ingress them you buy a civilian ship with such lack’s you can be sure what you that they do not have to take it off. Them you go to South Korea and buy a ship build one civil standard you can be sure what you get the ship without any shortcomings, cost overruns and possible even before the agreed deadline. The LCS is simply a shame for the US-Industry I can understand them a high tech ship like the DDG1000 create problems or a High Tech Fighter Program like the F22 or F35 but a small unarmed vessel like the LCS-1 Freedom how is not more them an empty aluminum-hull with such delays, cost overruns and shortcoming’s is just a shame.

    • Gary Church

      “A LCS cannot hunt submarines”

      10 or 20 torpedoes in a couple hundred square miles looking for a ship to sink means nothing can really “hunt” submarines anymore. Torpedoes can be programmed to search at low speed for days at a time. Like they say, there are only two types of ships; submarines and targets.

      • Araya

        You overestimate Submarine’s a bit. It is true what Submarines especially conventional powered Submarines like the Improved Kilo class or far more advance German Type 214 submarines are really difficult to detect but it is not impossible to find and kill them. So first any conventional powered Submarine has a limited operational range and a limited top-speed so they are as consequence only in littoral environment effective but in blue water they are very limited. And the other moremadvance Submarine class (SSN) nuclear powered submarines like the Akula class or the US Virginia Class are a definitively big threat for any surface combatant especially for Carriers or Big Landing ships because why they have a high top speed and a nearly unlimited operational range but they are not as quiet as the smaller conventional powered Submarines (SSK) and as consequence they can be detected by other Submarine’s or Surface Ships especially them they cruse one top speed in order to hunt for example a Carrier Group and so a single RUM-139 VL-ASROC fired form a DDG51 can destroy a Multi- Billion Enemy SSN. They are not unbeatable and Nuclear Powered Submarine’s like the Virginia class are as I said so expensive and valuable what only the loss of one will be a disaster. But why they speak about the LCS as Submarine Hunter so the LCS is definitively totally incapable to haunt submarines of any class. So the LCS cannot operate one blue water like a DDG51 or a Perry Frigate and it also didn’t have installed torpedo launchers or a VLS System to launch more advance ASUW Weapons like the RUM-139.

        The best strategy to kill enemy submarines in littoral environment are at last air dropped mines like the “Mark 60 CAPTOR” and the “MK65 Quick strike” as submarines launched mines like the “MK67 SLMM” so you didn’t need crap like the LCS to go in littoral environment just to be sunk by enemy SSK or even more likely by any small surface combatant and them you have to deal with enemy SSKs one Blue water the best defense are at first the high top speed of your Surface Ships so what the enemy simply cannot fallow you and them he seek to fallow so he became far more easy to detect and a fired RUM-139 VL-ASROC from a DDG51 should be enough to put is live an end. And then you have to deal with enemy SSN you have to be more carefully so the best defense against this kind of Submarine’s are at last own forward deployed SSNs and DDG51 in combination with the extended use of ASUW Helicopters and Airframes like the P3 Orion and the P8 Poseidon in combination with a massive amount of Air dropped Sonobuoy. As I said the Submarine whether SSK or SSN is not invincible but the LCS is incapable to fulfill this mission whether one blue water or in littoral environment. Some people will possible claim now what the LCS can carry two ASUW Helicopter but this didn’t make the LCS a Submarine hunter because why a LCS is incapable to hold even one ASUW Helicopter permanently in Air and them he need to react fast it has no installed anti-submarine weapons like all Destroyer or Frigates. For example a DDG51 or even a small Frigate can immediately fire a Torpedo them he detects an enemy submarine or at last fire a Torpedo as reaction of an already fired enemy Torpedo. The LCS in compare have nothing what can be used to attack direct an enemy Submarine and as consequence it will be easily destroyed.

  • Don Bacon

    Wow — from China’s “belligerent idiocy” (pot…kettle) to potential conflicts in the South China Sea (really — fight & die in a China Sea) and the Persian (Arabian to Navy) Gulf to the mighty LCS which can “clear mines, hunt submarines, shoot down small fast attack boats” (in our dreams). That must have been some powerful eggnog.

    Happy New Year Mr. Freedberg!

    • PolicyWonk

      Don,
      You’re not being fair to the abilities of the LCS. As far as mine hunting is concerned, *every* ship can be a mine-hunter at least *once*.
      Cheers.

      • Don Bacon

        The LCS mine hunting mission package hasn’t been operationally tested yet. Starting with an operational evaluation in 2015, the LCS is slated to replace the Avengers with a requirement to sweep a mined area in half the time it takes legacy systems in a series of four increments. (USNI report)

        In the 2015 OPEVAL the Navy plans to test the fundamental components of the MCM package: the helicopter-deployed airborne laser mine detection system (ALMDS); the mine-killing airborne mine neutralization system (AMNS); the remote mine hunting system (RMS), composed of the remote multi-mission vehicle and the AQS-20A sonar.

        A capability doesn’t exist on paper — it must be tested, evaluated and proven. And hunting a mine once doesn’t count. What do you do with it when you find it? Getting close only counts in horseshoes. Getting blown up doesn’t count at all.

        • http://www.windsofchange.net/ Joe Katzman

          All very good points, Don. Thanks for taking the time.

  • Jack Everett

    The LCS is just another corporate military industrial complex pig-in-a-poke and any jerk wad that thinks China is not a big military threat should not be in a leadership position.

    Americans have been supporting commies like Walmart for so many years now they are going to get what they deserve. As soon as our pig congress passes the TPP and Lying Obama signs it your only job will be to buy what you are told to buy and when to buy it. This is no longer the United States it’s the UN states all rapped and delivered.

    The navy is having the same problem recruiting the rest of our corporate military is so now they want to use civilians to man their worthless ships.

    America must always have a conflict cooking on the back burner to replace the winding down one. Let the military industrial complex get its pig ass out and do their own fighting for a change.

    Eisenhower said it best to bad Americans have become to brain dead to listen.

  • TDog

    The Navy’s “clear set of missions” in no way tells us what it is striving for. The pivot and AirSea Battle aim to remove China’s ability to fight, thus winning the war before it can get too expensive for us.

    But what do we win? What are we going to fight over? The constant mantra of “freedom of the seas” rings hollow when one considers that China, even more so than we, relies upon maritime trade for its economic existence. China would be less inclined, not more to strangle off international maritime trade in the East and South China Seas. Why? Because guess where all of their maritime trade goes through?

    So if China strangling itself to death is not an issue, what is? The real answer is not that we want to prevent China from impeding maritime trade in the disputed sea areas, but that we want to prevent China from stopping us from disrupting trade in those areas.

    While we are not really inclined to do such a thing, naval blockades have always been a major factor in our strategic planning and the ability of a potential target to undo that blockade has ALWAYS worked us up into a frenzy. We have assumed the role of the world’s policeman not out of altruism, but out of a desire to maintain control. We assure others we are doing it for their own good, but if having a foreign power maintain one’s national sovereignty is such a blessing, why do we in the United States not try it on for size?

  • ELP

    Fortunately the tac-air roadmap is in good shape. ..oh wait, it’s not?….In other words,

    “Cruiser: I joined the army ’cause my father and my brother were in the army. I thought I’d better join before I got drafted.

    Sergeant Hulka: Son, there ain’t no draft no more.

    Cruiser: There was one?”

  • Larry A. Altersitz

    Sounds like the CNO was a little ahead of the Colorado election results at that meeting.

    I find it very hard to believe the Navy can’t conceptualize, design, build and support decent “small” combatants at a much more reasonable price than the LCS. And I find it totally unbelievable the Navy can’t figure out away to reinforce a hull, up-gun and adequately protect a commercial ship design against missiles and torpedoes. You could make a larger version of the Israeli “Trophy” or “Iron Fist” anti-projectile system for anti-missile defense; torpedoes aren’t exactly silent stalkers and a light torpedo with a sound seeking module should take out torpedoes easily. As the youth say, “Dude, it ain’t brain science or rocket surgery, y’know.”

  • ziggy1988

    As others have already said, the LCS is useless. Its nothing but a 700 mn dollar easy target. As for Aegis, it has failed to pass tests even against its own mediocre criteria. And the Navy is, alas, STILL obsessed with carriers. Btw, China’s diesel subs, and those of ither nations, are MUCH quieter and MUCH cheaper than America’s.

    • http://www.windsofchange.net/ Joe Katzman

      This is just stupid.

      All systems have weaknesses, but Aegis’ strengths include a long, successful record of intercepts all the way up to ballistic missile defense. Nothing else can make that claim yet. They do need to fix the new SM-6 missiles, though.

      America has no diesel subs – so I guess China’s are quieter by definition. And if you have even a shred of credible proof that China’s Improved Kilo Class subs are quieter than a Virginia Class or Seawolf SSN, kindly produce it.

      • ziggy1988

        Aegis has succeded only in scripted, rigged tests designed to produce the predeteremined result. Moreover, it as seldom even tried to intercept ASCMs, and never those of the kind that the PRC, Russia, and Iran use. By the Navy’s own admussion, it has NO defenses against the Sizzler or the Sunburn.

        As for subs, proof is in: Roger Thompson, Lessons Not Learned, NIP, Annapolis 2007. Everyone even moderately familiar with subs knows that diesel-AIP subs, esp the modern Kilos, Songs, and Yuans used by the PLAN, are quieter than nuclear subs. For starters, they don’t have nuke reactors and the associated cooling equipment. The USN has proven itself to be TOTALLY inept at ASW and TOTALLY incapable of detecting Canadian, Aussie, Chilean, Swedish, and Chinese diesel subs.

        • Gary Church

          Having read some of your other comments I do not want to agree with you (I am a progressive) but….I guess I have to on this. I once found an old book about the mine warfare campaign against the Japanese and it really opened my eyes. The “counter mine” simply arms after a random number of sweeps and there really is still no defense unless you are going to examine every yard of the seabed with ROV’s and even then the mines are now made to hide under mud or look like rocks- at any depth. Jump ahead 20 years and the wake-homing torpedo arrives on the scene. Now we have autonomous sea gliders in development that in their thousands can even strip away the invisibility enjoyed by submarines.

          It is like gunpowder; we are like the old knights thinking our way of war will continue because that is all we know and cannot understand anything else.

          In reality, everything changed after Hiroshima and Nagasaki- and Bikini- we still have not caught up to the fact that conventional war is a thing of the past. EVERYTHING is qualified by technology.

          One way to understand it is to consider poison gas; not used by the major powers in World War 2 because……everyone was afraid of the other side using it. It did not stop wars and while Nukes have stopped world wars they have not stopped the smaller conflicts. The computer and new sensor technology just might make any kind of battle a certain bloodbath for all involved.

        • Gary Church

          Aegis seems to work against civilian jetliners; did not help on 911 though.

  • theothewill

    Some people are apparently incapable or unwilling to comprehend that R&D will be expensive for the lead ships of a class with new characteristics. A new frigate that can flex between different missions & having a smaller crew than the Perrys was inevitable. A question that remains, though, is speed really more useful than size? All other things being equal, a larger & slower ship can be built & operated at the same cost as a smaller & faster 1.

    • PolicyWonk

      A new ship class is going to have its difficulties, and no one is disputing that.
      However, what most folks (including the navy’s own internal investigators) have concluded is that while the idea of what LCS was supposed to be, isn’t what it turned out to be.

      Other navies also recognize the fact that a lead ship in class is likely to have some problems. However, what LCS has turned into cannot mask the fact that the very foundation of the ship – the sea-frame itself – is not up to the task it was initially intended for. And its especially not up to the task when you consider that its cost is staggeringly high for even a full naval variant in the same size class ($400M per sea-frame, not counting any mission package) that other navies are able to build for 1/3 of the cost.

      Weak hull; poor protection; lousy basic armament (even if you toss in the surface warfare mission package it’s *still* weakly armed for a ship of its size); AND staggeringly expensive.

      All in all, a lousy deal for the taxpayers.

  • http://luvsiesous.com/ Luvsiesous.com

    Expensive ship and aircraft choices are seldom worth the extra expense.

    Wayne, Luvsiesous