Air Warfare

Top 25 Cuts To NDAA: $5B In Fuel, People, Readiness, & Weapons Detailed

WASHINGTON: The House and Senate Armed Services Committees have found the $5 billion in cuts required under the budget deal. As HASC chairman Mac Thornberry promised, some of them are painful. The committees released the detailed list Tuesday after close of business, formatted into categories only a legislative aide could love, such as “Increases to […]

Sydney J. Freedberg Jr. graphic
Breaking Defense analysis of House & Senate data

WASHINGTON: The House and Senate Armed Services Committees have found the $5 billion in cuts required under the budget deal. As HASC chairman Mac Thornberry promised, some of them are painful.

The committees released the detailed list Tuesday after close of business, formatted into categories only a legislative aide could love, such as “Increases to NDAA Reductions.” (In plain English, that one means the original National Defense Authorization Act cut something from the president’s budget request, but the revised NDAA cuts even more).

In a quest for clarity, I threw the whole thing into Excel and, after much reformatting and recalculating, came up with the 25 biggest reductions from the original NDAA. The top 25 cuts together add up to 87 percent of the total $5 billion reduction. In a beautiful mathematical coincidence, these 25 also just happen to be all the cuts that are over $25 million. They’re a mix of administrative shuffles and what Thornberry called “real programs, real capability that has to be cut.”

  1. Just over $1 billion (22% of the total $5 billion cut) in “fuel rate adjustments.” This simply reflects the lower price of gas, a big part of the budget when you’re flying jet airplanes, sailing warships, and driving tanks. This adjustment doesn’t hurt anybody, except maybe OPEC and Vladimir Putin, who’s been hurt more by falling oil prices than anything the US, NATO, and Ukraine have done.
  2. $453 million (9% of the total) for the “FY16 Share of Planned DOD Headquarters Streamlining/Attrition.” The Pentagon is already cutting headquarters by 25 percent over several years, but it looks like HASC and SASC want them to do it faster. Cutting “staff pukes” and “paper pushers” is always popular, but doing it in a hurry can create all sorts of unintended logjams as reports, approvals, and even vital intelligence pile up on empty desks.
  3. $262 million (5%) for “Overestimation Of Army Civilian Full Time Equivalent Targets.” The Army announced earlier today that “Since 2011, the Army has actively taken measures to align our civilian workforce with our reducing Army end-strength.  As a result, there are fewer [civilians] on board today than programmed [i.e. budgeted for].” If there are fewer people on the payroll, you don’t need as much money.
  4. $250 million less for “Army Readiness increase.” Army leaders from Chief of Staff Gen. Mark Milley on down have begged for more training and maintenance funds. The original NDAA did give them more, but the revised NDAA doesn’t give them quite as much, to the tune of a quarter-billion dollars.
  5. $250 million less for the “Counterterrorism Partnership Fund.” This provides aid to countries fighting terrorism in the increasingly unstable Middle East and North Africa. Of course, some of those countries, notably Yemen, are in no condition to receive US money at the moment.
  6. $230 million less for the Long Range Strike Bomber “to align with contract award delay.” This is one of those low-pain adjustments: LRSB didn’t get out the gate as fast as planned, so it’s not going to get to the expensive parts of the program as quickly, so it doesn’t need quite as much money next year. Don’t worry, the bomber program will spend plenty of billions later.
  7. $192.6 million less for an “Air National Guard Readiness increase.” As with the Army hit above (No. 4), this means less money for training and maintenance.
  8. $170 million less for the “National Guard & Reserve Equipment Account,” although the summary emphasizes this account is still getting $250 million more than the president requested. The Guard and Reserve are hometown troops politically popular with Congress, but this item and No. 7 shows even they aren’t immune from trimming.
  9. $150.2 million for an “unexecutable increase in Air Force End Strength.” The Air Force had planned to add more personnel, but that’s not happening.
  10. $150 million less for the DDG-51 Arleigh Burke destroyer program. Since a single destroyer costs about $2 billion, this probably just means delaying some equipment rather than a whole ship.
  11. $125 million less for the “Syria Train & Equip program” to support moderate rebels, which has been a fiasco.
  12. $110 million less for the “Afghan Security Forces Fund,” identified as “fuel savings.” In other words, the Afghans are spending less on gas, just as we are, so we don’t need to subsidize them quite as heavily.
  13. $102.6 million for a “Classified Program Adjustment.” Move along. Nothing to see here.
  14. $100 million less for the “Technology Offset Initiative,” noted as a “New Program.” This looks like a hit to the Pentagon’s top long-term priority, the so-called “Third Offset Strategy” to keep America’s technological edge as China and Russia catch up in stealth aircraft, smart weapons, and cyberspace.
  15. $100 million less for “PAC-3 Missile Segment Enhancement.” This is the latest version of the Patriot missile, which the Army wants to upgrade for longer range.
  16. $100 million less for “Coalition Support Funds,” the mechanism the military uses to reimburse foreign allies — most notoriously Pakistan — for logistical and other help to US operations.
  17. $90.8 million less for “Defense Information System Network (DISN) activities,” due to “unjustified program growth.” In other words, the Pentagon asked for more money (growth), Congress decided they didn’t need it (unjustified).
  18. $80 million less for MQ-9 Reaper drones. Specifically, the original NDAA increased the number of Reapers being purchased, but the revised NDAA has to trim that back a bit.
  19. $77 million less for the “Airlift Readiness Account (from OMAF Mobility Operations).” Airlift is the big cargo planes the Air Force uses to haul everything from troops to tanks to humanitarian supplies. Readiness is mostly fuel, maintenance, and training. But it beats me (and Google) what an “OMAF” is. [Update: Helpful readers have pointed out this acronym simply means “Operations & Maintenance, Air Force.]
  20. $66.3 million less for “unexecutable Navy Civilian Full Time Equivalent Growth for management functions.” Again, this looks like civilians the military had planned to hire but didn’t.
  21. $50 million less for a “reduce[d] THAAD purchase.” THAAD is the Army’s higher-altitude, longer-ranged missile defense system, Patriot’s bigger brother.
  22. $41 million less for Joint Enabling Capabilities Command, a subunit of Transportation Command (TRANSCOM) devoted to deploying command-and-control systems quickly around the world. It’s justified as an otherwise undefined “efficiency,” which usually signals someone is getting a little desperate in their quest for cuts and is ordering someone else to wave a magic wand to make spending disappear.
  23. $30 million less for purchases of the Standard SM-3 Block 1B missile. Like Patriot and THAAD, this is another missile defense system, but a Navy one launched by Aegis ships (like those DDG-51s above at No. 10).
  24. $28.9 million less for “ship outfitting.” That’s more stuff that’s not going on Navy ships.
  25. $27.5 million less for the Navy’s “basic research program” — less than the original NDAA, that is: The program’s still getting an increase over the President’s budget. As the military wrestles with shrinking budgets and rising threats, it’s fighting hard to preserve investments for the long term.

Our complete spreadsheet of all 98 listed cuts is below:

Rank% of Total CutsAmount in $1,000sItemTypeLegislative Process
122%$1,082,000Fuel rate adjustmentsEvolving CircumstancesIncreases to NDAA Reductions
29%$453,000FY16 Share of Planned DOD Headquarters Streamlining/AttritionProgrammatic ChangesIncreases to NDAA Reductions
35%$262,500Overestimation Of Army Civilian Full Time Equivalent TargetsProgrammatic ChangesReductions not previously carried in the NDAA
45%$250,000Army Readiness increaseProgrammatic ChangesAdjustments to NDAA Adds
55%$250,000Counterterrorism Partnership FundAdjustments to OCOIncreases to NDAA Reductions
65%$230,000Long Range Strike Bomber change to align with contract award delayEvolving CircumstancesIncreases to NDAA Reductions
74%$192,600Air National Guard Readiness increaseProgrammatic ChangesAdjustments to NDAA Adds
83%$170,000National Guard & Reserve Equipment AccountAdjustments to OCOAdjustments to NDAA Adds
93%$150,200Unexecutable increase in Air Force End StrengthEvolving CircumstancesAdjustments to NDAA Adds
103%$150,000DDG-51 destroyerProgrammatic ChangesAdjustments to NDAA Adds
113%$125,000Syria Train & Equip program changeAdjustments to OCOReductions not previously carried in the NDAA
122%$110,000Afghan Security Forces Fund – fuel savingsAdjustments to OCOReductions not previously carried in the NDAA
132%$102,600Classified Program AdjustmentProgrammatic ChangesReductions not previously carried in the NDAA
142%$100,000Technology Offset Initiative (New Program)Programmatic ChangesAdjustments to NDAA Adds
152%$100,000Patriot PAC-3 Missile Segment EnhancementProgrammatic ChangesAdjustments to NDAA Adds
162%$100,000Coalition Support FundsAdjustments to OCOIncreases to NDAA Reductions
172%$90,800Unjustified program growth for Defense Information System Network (DISN) activitiesProgrammatic ChangesReductions not previously carried in the NDAA
182%$80,000MQ-9 Reaper drone Quantity increaseProgrammatic ChangesAdjustments to NDAA Adds
192%$77,000Airlift Readiness Account (from OMAF Mobility Operations)Evolving CircumstancesReductions not carried in the NDAA
201%$66,281Unexecutable Navy Civilian Full Time Equivalent Growth for management functionsProgrammatic ChangesReductions not previously carried in the NDAA
211%$50,000Reduce THAAD purchaseProgrammatic ChangesReductions not previously carried in the NDAA
221%$41,000Joint Enabling Capabilities Command – efficiencyProgrammatic ChangesReductions carried in House or Senate versions of the NDAA1008 PM
231%$30,000Reduce SM3 1B (missile defense) purchaseProgrammatic ChangesReductions not previously carried in the NDAA
241%$28,907Ship OutfittingProgrammatic ChangesIncreases to NDAA Reductions
251%$27,500Basic research program increase – NavyProgrammatic ChangesAdjustments to NDAA Adds
261%$25,000Counterfire RadarsProgrammatic ChangesIncreases to NDAA Reductions
270%$22,500Basic research program increase – Air ForceProgrammatic ChangesAdjustments to NDAA Adds
280%$20,500Long Range Standoff Weapon contract delayEvolving CircumstancesReductions not carried in the NDAA
290%$20,000Basic research program increase – ArmyProgrammatic ChangesAdjustments to NDAA Adds
300%$20,000Common Avionics ChangesProgrammatic ChangesReductions not previously carried in the NDAA
310%$20,000Excess Air Force carryover – Spares and Repair PartsProgrammatic ChangesReductions not previously carried in the NDAA
320%$19,000Restructure AF Integrated Personnel and Pay SystemProgrammatic ChangesIncreases to NDAA Reductions
330%$18,544HARM ImprovementProgrammatic ChangesIncreases to NDAA Reductions
340%$17,000Logistics OperationsProgrammatic ChangesReductions not previously carried in the NDAA
350%$16,540CARB (Combating Antibiotic Resistant Bacteria)Programmatic ChangesReductions carried in House or Senate versions of the NDAA1008 PM
360%$16,100Air Force unjustified contract increaseAdjustments to OCOIncreases to NDAA Reductions
370%$16,000Logistics Support ActivitiesProgrammatic ChangesReductions not previously carried in the NDAA
380%$15,000C-5 Airlift Squadrons (IF) Communications Equipment/Radar ModsProgrammatic ChangesIncreases to NDAA Reductions
390%$15,000Mentor Protégé ProgramProgrammatic ChangesReductions not previously carried in the NDAA
400%$15,000Common Ground EquipmentProgrammatic ChangesReductions not previously carried in the NDAA
410%$14,000Unexecutable USAF Full Time Equivalent Increase in Combat Enhancement ForcesProgrammatic ChangesReductions not previously carried in the NDAA
420%$13,000Joint Capability Technology DemonstrationProgrammatic ChangesIncreases to NDAA Reductions
430%$12,700Delayed deployment of Defense Enterprise Accounting and Management SystemProgrammatic ChangesIncreases to NDAA Reductions
440%$12,500DCMA Information Technology DevelopmentProgrammatic ChangesReductions not previously carried in the NDAA
450%$12,358Small Diameter Bomb (SDB) contract delayProgrammatic ChangesReductions not previously carried in the NDAA
460%$12,300Surface Combatant Combat System EngineeringProgrammatic ChangesIncreases to NDAA Reductions
470%$12,176Logistics Information TechnologyProgrammatic ChangesIncreases to NDAA Reductions
480%$12,000Automated Data Processing EquipProgrammatic ChangesReductions carried in House or Senate versions of the NDAA1008 PM
490%$11,000SHARKSEERProgrammatic ChangesAdjustments to NDAA Adds
500%$10,536JIEDDO Attack The NetworkAdjustments to OCOIncreases to NDAA Reductions
510%$10,000STARBASEProgrammatic ChangesAdjustments to NDAA Adds
520%$10,000Family Of Beyond Line-Of-Sight TerminalsProgrammatic ChangesIncreases to NDAA Reductions
530%$10,000Distributed Common Ground System-ArmyProgrammatic ChangesIncreases to NDAA Reductions
540%$10,000F–18 ModificationsProgrammatic ChangesIncreases to NDAA Reductions
550%$10,000Joint Air-Surface Standoff Missile unit cost efficienciesProgrammatic ChangesIncreases to NDAA Reductions
560%$10,000Reduce AF Acquisition Training – duplication of effortProgrammatic ChangesReductions carried in House or Senate versions of the NDAA1008 PM
570%$10,000Trident II MODS program growthProgrammatic ChangesReductions not previously carried in the NDAA
580%$10,000Tactical Wheeled Vehicle ModificationsProgrammatic ChangesReductions not previously carried in the NDAA
590%$10,000Maneuver Control SystemProgrammatic ChangesReductions not previously carried in the NDAA
600%$10,000Excess Navy carryover – Spares and Repair PartsProgrammatic ChangesReductions not previously carried in the NDAA
610%$10,000F-15 ModificationsProgrammatic ChangesReductions not previously carried in the NDAA
620%$9,500HC-130J unit cost growthProgrammatic ChangesIncreases to NDAA Reductions
630%$9,000Defense University Research Instrumentation Program increaseProgrammatic ChangesAdjustments to NDAA Adds
640%$8,500Increase in Public Affairs at Local InstallationsProgrammatic ChangesReductions carried in House or Senate versions of the NDAA1008 PM
650%$8,100USMC Ground Combat/Supporting Arms project delayProgrammatic ChangesReductions not previously carried in the NDAA
660%$8,088Joint Air-to-Ground Missile (JAGM) contract delaysProgrammatic ChangesIncreases to NDAA Reductions
670%$8,000Advanced Hawkeye DevelopmentProgrammatic ChangesReductions not previously carried in the NDAA
680%$8,000Next Gen Jammer Development contract delayProgrammatic ChangesReductions not previously carried in the NDAA
690%$7,000Common Computer ResourcesProgrammatic ChangesIncreases to NDAA Reductions
700%$6,700MC-130J program efficienciesProgrammatic ChangesIncreases to NDAA Reductions
710%$6,500Joint Electronic Advanced TechnologyProgrammatic ChangesIncreases to NDAA Reductions
720%$6,000Advanced EHF program growthProgrammatic ChangesReductions not previously carried in the NDAA
730%$5,700Fleet satellite comm follow-on: excess storage costsProgrammatic ChangesReductions not previously carried in the NDAA
740%$5,360DLA Uniform Research new startProgrammatic ChangesReductions not previously carried in the NDAA
750%$5,000Quick Reaction Special ProjectsProgrammatic ChangesIncreases to NDAA Reductions
760%$5,000Weather System Follow OnProgrammatic ChangesIncreases to NDAA Reductions
770%$5,000Transportable Tactical Command CommunicationsProgrammatic ChangesIncreases to NDAA Reductions
780%$5,000Navy Fleet Band National ToursProgrammatic ChangesReductions carried in House or Senate versions of the NDAA1008 PM
790%$5,000H-1 UpgradesProgrammatic ChangesReductions not previously carried in the NDAA
800%$5,000Excess carryover – Spacelift Range System SpaceEvolving CircumstancesReductions not carried in the NDAA
810%$4,900Unexecutable USAF Full Time Equivalent Increase in Security ProgramsProgrammatic ChangesReductions not previously carried in the NDAA
820%$4,000E-4 Modification program delayEvolving CircumstancesReductions not carried in the NDAA
830%$3,578Increase in Space and Missile Center (SMC) Civilian WorkforceProgrammatic ChangesIncreases to NDAA Reductions
840%$3,200Unexecutable USAF Full Time Equivalent Increase in Tactical Intel and Other Special ActivitiesProgrammatic ChangesReductions not previously carried in the NDAA
850%$3,000Advanced Civil Schooling -Civilian Graduate SchoolProgrammatic ChangesReductions carried in House or Senate versions of the NDAA1008 PM
860%$2,700National Guard State Partnership ProgramProgrammatic ChangesAdjustments to NDAA Adds
870%$2,126Joint Warfighting ProgramProgrammatic ChangesIncreases to NDAA Reductions
880%$2,100Unexecutable USAF Full Time Equivalent Increase in Primary Combat ForcesProgrammatic ChangesReductions not previously carried in the NDAA
890%$2,000Global Positioning (Space) program growthProgrammatic ChangesReductions not previously carried in the NDAA
900%$2,000Air Force Satellite Control Network system engineeringProgrammatic ChangesReductions not previously carried in the NDAA
910%$1,700AMRAAM unit cost varianceProgrammatic ChangesIncreases to NDAA Reductions
920%$1,500Global Combat Support System‐AF Family of SystemsProgrammatic ChangesIncreases to NDAA Reductions
930%$1,150Civil Air PatrolProgrammatic ChangesAdjustments to NDAA Adds
940%$930Air Force Civilian Graduate Education ProgramProgrammatic ChangesReductions not previously carried in the NDAA
950%$894Mid-Tier Networking Vehicular Radio (MNVR)Programmatic ChangesIncreases to NDAA Reductions
960%$510Eliminate National Guard Heritage Paintings initiativeProgrammatic ChangesIncreases to NDAA Reductions
970%$500Naval Sea Cadet CorpsProgrammatic ChangesAdjustments to NDAA Adds
980%$51C-130 ModificationsProgrammatic ChangesIncreases to NDAA Reductions