Key decision points for Ukraine in the year ahead

Key decision points for Ukraine in the year ahead
Key decision points for Ukraine in the year ahead

Analyst Joshua Huminski asks, “What, in the end, is the balance Kyiv is willing to strike between what it wants to achieve (and at what cost) and what it actually can?”

Russian ‘conquest’ of Ukraine on the table if US, allied military aid falters: Study

Russian ‘conquest’ of Ukraine on the table if US, allied military aid falters: Study
Russian ‘conquest’ of Ukraine on the table if US, allied military aid falters: Study

The report offers up a detailed account of the high cost the US is likely to pay for “allowing Russia to win” in Ukraine, largely based around the Pentagon forced into bolstering defense and deterrence against a “renewed” Russian threat.

Russia’s Putin meets Iran’s Raisi in Moscow after whirlwind Gulf visit

Russia’s Putin meets Iran’s Raisi in Moscow after whirlwind Gulf visit
Russia’s Putin meets Iran’s Raisi in Moscow after whirlwind Gulf visit

US partners Saudi Arabia and United Arab Emirates are sending a message to US with high-profile Putin meetings, analysts told Breaking Defense.

Despite new talks, Sweden and Turkey stalemate delays NATO membership

Despite new talks, Sweden and Turkey stalemate delays NATO membership
Despite new talks, Sweden and Turkey stalemate delays NATO membership

Jens Stoltenberg, NATO secretary general, said after a meeting today that “unsolved issues” remain, all but ending the prospect of NATO expanding to 32 members at the alliance’s Heads of State Summit in Vilnius, Lithuania, next week.

After Wagner uprising, UK sees ‘cracks emerging’ in Russian support for Ukraine war

After Wagner uprising, UK sees ‘cracks emerging’ in Russian support for Ukraine war
After Wagner uprising, UK sees ‘cracks emerging’ in Russian support for Ukraine war

“We and our allies are asking [questions] about what situations may evolve as a direct repercussion of this very public attack on Putin’s authority by one of his protegees and closest allies,” said James Cleverly, UK Foreign Secretary.

One year in, finding a path forward for a Ukrainian victory

One year in, finding a path forward for a Ukrainian victory
One year in, finding a path forward for a Ukrainian victory

One volunteer ferrying supplies and vehicles into the city of Bakhmut told Breaking Defense the Russian forces attacking act “like a zombie army.”

Putin’s comments underline growing Russian concern over jet, tank production

Putin’s comments underline growing Russian concern over jet, tank production
Putin’s comments underline growing Russian concern over jet, tank production

Experienced observers of Russia’s defense sector point out that the US-led sanctions have a disproportionate effect on aerospace production, more so than any other sector.

Flimsy numbers and sparks of protest: How Putin’s mobilization may end up another miscalculation

Flimsy numbers and sparks of protest: How Putin’s mobilization may end up another miscalculation
Flimsy numbers and sparks of protest: How Putin’s mobilization may end up another miscalculation

“Even if the Russians are able to mobilize significant numbers, think about how many months [it is] going to take for them to emerge as operational formations,” Ben Hodges, the former head of US Army forces in Europe, told Breaking Defense.

US making progress on cyber defense, but up against some ‘significant hurdles’: Commission report

US making progress on cyber defense, but up against some ‘significant hurdles’: Commission report
US making progress on cyber defense, but up against some ‘significant hurdles’: Commission report

In discussing the new Cyberspace Solarium Commission 2.0 report, Sen. Angus King speculated some cyber deterrence against Russia is already paying off, with Putin “afraid” of the NSA.

Before Russian invasion, US made novel use of intelligence-as-strategy

Before Russian invasion, US made novel use of intelligence-as-strategy
Before Russian invasion, US made novel use of intelligence-as-strategy

Usually a tool to inform policy, the US government used intelligence itself for strategic effects – which could have implications for the future of conflict and diplomacy, writes Joshua Huminski.

Learn from 1983, and be careful with the rhetoric about Moscow

Learn from 1983, and be careful with the rhetoric about Moscow
Learn from 1983, and be careful with the rhetoric about Moscow

The White House needs to be careful about what signals it is sending to Moscow with its rhetoric about Russia, writes Robbin Laird in a new column.

Russian momentum in Ukraine slowed, but conflict still in early days: Pentagon

Russian momentum in Ukraine slowed, but conflict still in early days: Pentagon
Russian momentum in Ukraine slowed, but conflict still in early days: Pentagon

Russia is meeting more resistance from Ukrainian forces than it had anticipated, but Russian President Vladimir Putin still has untapped combat power at his disposal.

Biden orders forces to Baltics, warns Russia plans further invasion of Ukraine

Biden orders forces to Baltics, warns Russia plans further invasion of Ukraine
Biden orders forces to Baltics, warns Russia plans further invasion of Ukraine

Among the assets moving to the Baltics are F-35s and AH-64 Apache helicopters.

A prototype spy plane is tracking Russian force movements for the US Army

A prototype spy plane is tracking Russian force movements for the US Army
A prototype spy plane is tracking Russian force movements for the US Army

ARTEMIS “has both electronic collection and ground scanning radar so it could for example see the movement of tanks in real time, and collect RF [radio frequency] signals emitted by adversaries,”  said Tom Spoehr of the Heritage Foundation. “Its sensors can go hundreds of miles out, so with the route it is flying it can see well into Belarus, Kaliningrad, and perhaps even into the Donbas region.”